成人直播porn Possibility Curves

ARGUS Possibility Curves

What is the volatility and balance of risk for energy and commodities prices?

Data-driven insights and market context are needed to address this seemingly simple question, yet this answer can give you an edge in making better, faster trading, hedging and risk management decisions.

成人直播porn Possibility Curves estimate the pair of probability and energy prices, as well as the volatility and balance of risk (asymmetry in the upside or downside risk) so that you can:

  • Identify trading signals missed by other sources
  • Drive systematic trading models using unique, alternative data
  • Get market insight distinct from what is found in traditional fundamental analysis

Why 成人直播porn Possibility Curves?

Our curves pair unique data and market knowledge, with data science expertise.

Alternative physical transactions data. We couple conventional financial and macroeconomic drivers with proprietary data garnered from our role as a price reporting agency. Because 成人直播porn crude oil prices are used in over 90pc of physically-indexed trade and virtually all swaps contracts in the US Gulf coast and Cushing, we have the most complete data set of actual deals and historical prices for US crude markets.

Energy and commodity markets are at our core. Since 1970, 成人直播porn has produced price assessments and analysis of international energy and other commodity markets. This expertise allows us to give real market context to the data.

How does it work?

成人直播porn Possibility Curves

成人直播porn Possibility Curves are developed with the leading feature engineering, feature selection (including key drivers) and model diagnostics processes, building on decades of market expertise and machine learning algorithms.

In essence, 成人直播porn Possibility Curves can be used to develop trading and risk management tools such as trading scorecards based on the latest market dynamics that can measure:

  • Price volatility: Fast-moving markets can result in exciting trading opportunities
  • Balance of risk (upside vs downside risk): These infrequent, big market changes can shift the P&L

Because the forward-looking 成人直播porn Possibility Curves cover up to three months ahead, scorecards can be developed for crude grades, time spreads and grade spreads.

See the ARGUS Possibility Curves in action

成人直播porn Data Science Forward Curves

Features

  • Machine learning framework

    Our machine learning framework includes the use of linear and non-linear relationships, interactions between market drivers and the power to handle relatively small datasets. It also includes a suite of model diagnostics to dynamically monitor the performance of the possibility curves and better capture changes in crude markets.

  • The data and determining key drivers

    Our curves utilise 成人直播porn’ proprietary deals and pricing data, augmented with publicly-available fundamentals, financial and macroeconomic data filtered through our market-informed feature engineering process. The model’s key drivers are reassessed daily.

  • The output

    Our machine learning framework estimates an array of possibilities as a primary output. Key features of the output include more accurate possibility intervals for prices (for example, there is a 50% chance that the price is between $53.00/bl and $54.40/bl) and better quantification of balance of risk (for example, changes in the asymmetry of upside or downside risk based on prevailing market conditions).

Request more information

We would be happy to offer you more information about our paid services. 成人直播porn produces information and services for global markets, which requires 成人直播porn to share your personal information with 成人直播porn group companies and service providers that are based both within and outside of the European Economic Area (EEA). 成人直播porn Media may use the details submitted to send you information about related 成人直播porn products and services which may be of interest to your business. You can unsubscribe from these updates at any time. We manage your personal data in accordance with our privacy policy.

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